US Secretary of State Antony Blinken arrives in Beijing, China, June 18, 2023.
Leah Millis | Afp | Getty Photos
BEIJING — U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken landed in Beijing Sunday on his first journey to China below the Biden administration.
Delayed by greater than 4 months, Blinken’s journey marks a uncommon high-level assembly between the U.S. and China in a interval of heightened rigidity.
Little is predicted to emerge from the talks themselves. However Blinken’s Beijing go to helps pave the best way for extra conferences — together with a possible one-to-one between U.S. President Joe Biden and his Chinese language counterpart Xi Jinping later this yr.
Blinken’s Beijing journey is a “potential necessary turning level within the relationship,” Scott Kennedy, senior advisor and trustee chair in Chinese language enterprise and economics on the Middle for Strategic and Worldwide Research, informed CNBC.
“Simply merely strengthening communication is an inexpensive purpose,” he stated. “If [both sides] announce the talks went effectively sufficient they’ll schedule extra cabinet-level conferences.”
Communication and conferences between the U.S. and China have dried up in the previous few years because of the pandemic and political tensions.
The U.S. Division of State stated Blinken is about to satisfy with “senior [People’s Republic of China] officers the place he’ll focus on the significance of sustaining open strains of communication to responsibly handle the U.S.-PRC relationship.”
Blinken “may also elevate bilateral problems with concern, international and regional issues, and potential cooperation on shared transnational challenges,” division spokesperson Matthew Miller stated in a press release.
China’s Ministry of Overseas Affairs confirmed the go to however didn’t present particulars on particular conferences.
Expectations for a big restoration within the U.S.-China relationship, particularly on account of Blinken’s upcoming journey, stay low.
“The target remains to be to forestall the connection from deteriorating additional, reasonably than articulating and agreeing to a shared imaginative and prescient for a means forward,” stated Drew Thompson, a former U.S. Protection Division official and present visiting senior analysis fellow on the Lee Kuan Yew Faculty of Public Coverage in Singapore.
“The Biden administration’s rhetoric is we’ll compete, the place we will; and cooperate, the place we should,” Thompson stated. “However China does not see it that means. China sees the political parts of each competitors and cooperation, and so they’re not keen to cooperate if there’s nonetheless a component of competitors or the U.S. is difficult it politically.”
“And so I feel that the administration’s targets are, at this level unrealistic due to the best way Beijing has framed its curiosity in its technique.”
Rising tensions
It has been an intense few months geopolitically whereas the world waited for Blinken to reschedule his journey to China — and probably assist stabilize the connection between the 2 financial powers.
The U.S. in February shot down an alleged Chinese language spy balloon flying over U.S. airspace. Its look had pressured Blinken to indefinitely postpone his Beijing journey on the time. Beijing insisted the balloon was an unnamed climate tracker that blew astray.
Elsewhere, the CEO of TikTok, owned by Chinese language tech large ByteDance, received grilled in U.S. Congress in March over safety considerations. China’s Overseas Ministry stated on the time that it “has by no means” and “won’t ever” ask corporations to go towards native legal guidelines and supply knowledge positioned overseas.
“The US authorities has supplied no proof or proof that TikTok threatens U.S. nationwide safety, but it has repeatedly suppressed and attacked the corporate primarily based on the presumption of guilt,” the ministry stated, in line with a briefing transcript.
And in Might, China stated U.S. chipmaker Micron had failed a safety assessment and banned operators of essential infrastructure from shopping for from the corporate.
“The connection has not remained in a gentle state since February,” Kennedy stated. However he added that the temper in Washington, D.C., the place he is primarily based, is “not as darkish because it had been” in February and March.
Taiwan tensions
“The U.S. must honor its dedication to the ‘One China’ coverage,” Jia Qingguo, a professor at Peking College, stated Tuesday on the sidelines of the Caixin New Asia Imaginative and prescient convention in Singapore.
“China additionally doesn’t want to see any accidents between each militaries,” Jia added.
“It acknowledges that although there’s a want to ascertain navy guardrails between each international locations, that’s not sufficient. The 2 international locations must also set up related guardrails for diplomacy and financial relations to keep away from confrontation. It will scale back reactive actions and scale back any chance of accidents.”
Among the many many different factors the place the U.S. and China differ is the Russian warfare on Ukraine, which Beijing has refused to label an invasion, whereas calling for peace talks.
Hopes for extra U.S.-China conferences
Nonetheless, the 2 sides stay one another’s largest buying and selling companions when it comes to items.
China’s Commerce Minister Wang Wentao met along with his U.S. counterpart in Washington in Might. And U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen is predicted to go to China at an unspecified date.
Trying forward, Xi might probably go to the U.S. through the Asia-Pacific Financial Cooperation Leaders’ Summit — set to be held in San Francisco in November.
Jia stated expectations for any outcomes of Blinken’s upcoming conferences with the Chinese language shouldn’t be too excessive, however that it was necessary he was going.
“It isn’t common for 2 of the world’s nice powers to depend on the best ranges of management to repairs ties. It’s truly fairly dangerous.” Jia stated. “Therefore, it can be crucial that each international locations have extra ranges of trade.”
— CNBC’s Clement Tan contributed to this report.